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Australia's unemployment rate in November was 3.93%, which is estimated to be 4.2%.Australia's ASX 200 index narrowed to 0.1%, and the Australian dollar increased. The just released Australian employment data was better than expected.Guotai Junan: The long-term incremental "option" brought by humanoid robots is expected to help the valuation of the rare earth sector rise. When looking forward to the strategy of the rare earth sector in 2025, Guotai Junan said that the market had expected that with the slowdown in the growth of core demand power such as new energy vehicles and wind power in the future, the demand for rare earth markets is under downward pressure. However, we expect that the rising consumption of magnetic materials for new energy vehicles and the warming demand for wind power are still expected to support the basic demand growth, and the demand for equipment renewal that began to land in 2024 is expected to become a new driving force for rare earth demand. On the supply side, an orderly pattern of domestic supply has been established, with many overseas planning increments but slow actual volume, and continuous supply-side constraints. In addition, the long-term incremental "options" brought by humanoid robots are also expected to help the valuation of the plate rise.

CICC: Inflation in the United States may push the "hawks to cut interest rates". The CICC research report said that inflation data opened the door for the Fed to cut interest rates next week, but we also predicted that the "hawks to cut interest rates" will be staged next week, and the Fed may cut the guidance on interest rate cuts in the bitmap. We predict that the new bitmap will show that the total interest rate will be cut twice in 2025 (compared with four times before), and the federal funds rate will be lowered to a neutral level of 3.75% to 4% by the end of the second quarter of next year.Shengmei Shanghai issued a statement on the new US export control regulations. Shengmei Shanghai issued a statement on the new US export control regulations, saying that on December 2, the BIS of the US Department of Commerce issued new control measures for semiconductors exported and transferred to People's Republic of China (PRC) (China), covering advanced integrated circuit (IC) products, specific integrated circuit manufacturing equipment and technology, and supercomputers related to artificial intelligence (AI) and advanced computing. According to the new regulations, Shengmei Shanghai and its domestic and Korean subsidiaries are included in the BIS entity list. ACM Research, Inc and its direct subsidiaries outside Chinese mainland are not included in the list. The company is comprehensively evaluating the potential impact of the new regulations on the company's business and operation plans. Based on the current information, the company believes that as the company has established diversified supply chains and alternative resources, the impact on the delivery and service capacity of equipment produced by Shengmei Shanghai and sold to domestic customers will be controllable and manageable. The new regulations will not affect the company's product sales, delivery and service capabilities to overseas customers. Consistent with previous years, the company plans to voluntarily disclose the announcement of 2024 annual operating results and 2025 annual operating results forecast in January 2025.Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.

South Korea's Seoul Composite Index rose to 1%.After the shooting of the medical insurance giant executives, the executives of big companies such as Goldman Sachs and Bank of America have also been "targeted". The new york police are adjusting relevant posters, and the new york police are investigating posters posted in some areas of Manhattan about American business executives. In addition CEO Brian Thompson, CEO of UNH insurance business who was shot dead last Wednesday (December 4th), related posters also mentioned executives of American Express, Goldman Sachs Group, Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase and other companies, and their heads were all painted with red "X" signs. A spokesman for the new york police said that in addition to posters, American corporate executives are also facing increasing cyber threats.Guotai Junan: The long-term incremental "option" brought by humanoid robots is expected to help the valuation of the rare earth sector rise. When looking forward to the strategy of the rare earth sector in 2025, Guotai Junan said that the market had expected that with the slowdown in the growth of core demand power such as new energy vehicles and wind power in the future, the demand for rare earth markets is under downward pressure. However, we expect that the rising consumption of magnetic materials for new energy vehicles and the warming demand for wind power are still expected to support the basic demand growth, and the demand for equipment renewal that began to land in 2024 is expected to become a new driving force for rare earth demand. On the supply side, an orderly pattern of domestic supply has been established, with many overseas planning increments but slow actual volume, and continuous supply-side constraints. In addition, the long-term incremental "options" brought by humanoid robots are also expected to help the valuation of the plate rise.